We track every prediction we make. Here's how accurate we've been.
Based on 312 match predictions this season
Pre-season pick: Arsenal (42% probability)
Status: Season ongoing — Arsenal currently 2nd
Pre-season picks: Southampton ✅, Ipswich ✅, Leicester ❌ (predicted), Wolves (actual)
Accuracy: 2/3 correct
We use Elo ratings + home advantage + recent form to generate win probabilities. A prediction is "correct" if the outcome with the highest probability occurs. Over a large sample, we expect ~65-70% accuracy — bookmakers achieve ~68%.